San Carlos Real Estate Agent, San Carlos Realtor

The San Carlos Real Estate Week in Review: 5-18-13.

San Carlos Real Estate Summary. If you want a good snapshot that captures the speed and strength of the San Carlos Real estate market, just look at the stats directly below for homes that sold (closed escrow) this past week.   The average price per square foot was over $700, …

New Listing: 3299 La Mesa Drive #9, San Carlos

The Best of Brittan Heights. If you’re in the market for a condo in San Carlos, you’ll definitely want to see the unit that I’m putting on the market today up in Brittan Heights.   3299 La Mesa Drive #9 is one of the coveted top-level condos in the Brittan Heights …

Price Per Square Foot: Another Look at San Carlos Home Prices.

Factor Out the Size. There are a variety of ways to analyze the relative value of a real estate market.  The most commonly used metrics are average sales price and median sales price.  Those metrics are certainly good indicators of what’s happening, but they can be skewed up or down …

Map of San Carlos Regions

The Realtor Zones. When it comes to residential real estate, the City of San Carlos is divided up into 6 different real estate “zones”: Alder Manor (Area 350), Beverly Terrace (351), El Sereno Corte (352), Howard Park (353), Clearfield Park (354), and Cordes (355). When a home is for sale …

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The San Carlos Real Estate Week in Review: 2-2-13.

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San Carlos Real Estate Summary.

There are many who believe that the spring real estate market doesn’t truly get underway until the Super Bowl is done.    If that’s the case, then bring on the market  (much to the chagrin of the 49ers).    In reality, the market isn’t waiting for anyone.   There were four nice listings to make their debut last week (see below) and there will be a couple of really good ones to appear this week – stay tuned to the blog for more details.    But with activity being brisk as expected, and 5 homes going into contract,  the active inventory still sits at a paltry 14 listings for sale.   Buyers are going to have to wait another week to see if we’ll get enough new listings to help ease the intense buying competition in San Carlos.

Here are the numbers from last week:

By The Numbers.

Below is a high-level snapshot of the market performance for single-family residences in San Carlos. This data is for the week ending 2-2-2013:

San Carlos Housing Data 2-2-13 Prior Week
Closed Sales for the Week:
1 3
Average Sold Price
$1,622,000 $1,087,677 (+49%)
Average $/Sq Foot (Sold)
$605 $513
Sold Price vs Orig List (%) 90% 106%
Average DOM of Closed Sales 183 26
No. of Homes Pending Sale: 12 12
Inventory of Active Listings:
14 14 (+0%)
Average Price of Active Listings: $1,406,349 $1,479,278
Average DOM of Active Listings: 46 95
Average $/Sq Foot (List) $574 $581
Active-Pending Ratio:
1.2 : 1 1.2 : 1

>>> Click Here to Read the Full Post
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Eight Days a Week.

8

The Magic Number.

When I am compiling the data for the San Carlos Real Estate Week in Review post that I publish every week, there’s a number that always seems to jump out at me from the Days on Market (DOM) column:  8.    By definition, the DOM figure is the number of days from when the property was listed on the MLS until an offer is accepted and the status changes to pending.     And in this high-demand, inventory depleted market that we’re experiencing now, 8 days seems to be the magic number that it takes a well prepared and intelligently priced home in San Carlos to sell in this market.  Can it be shorter?  Of course – there have been quite a few homes that have sold before they even hit the market, or within a few days after being listed.    And there’s always the ones that missed the mark on price or location and will sit on the market longer.

But when you look at mechanics of a typical listing in San Carlos, the number 8 is not a coincidence.

Exposure versus Expeditiousness.

It’s an absolute no-brainer that it’s in the best interest for sellers to get their home to maximize the exposure of their home by selling it on the MLS.    Yes, there are certain circumstances where an off-market sale may make sense, but if your goal is to get the best price possible for your home, you absolutely want multiple buyers competing for it.   But there’s a fine balance between garnering enough exposure on the market without holding interested buyers at bay too long to possibly squelch their enthusiasm for your property, or to have a competing listing hit the market and take the wind out of your sails.

When you examine the mechanics of a typical home listing, there are two critical events that maximize the accessibility and the exposure of your home:  the Tuesday broker’s tour, and the weekend open house.   What’s very apparent in this market is that you really only need to conduct one of each to garner enough interest to generate multiple offers on your home…and that’s where the number 8 comes in.

Here’s a very typical timeline of a home listing in San Carlos:

  • Friday:  Home debuts on the MLS.
  • Sunday:  Open House.
  • Tuesday:  Broker Tour.

By the following Friday (7th day) interested buyers have had enough time to see the home and review disclosures, and there’s usually more than enough interest now that it makes sense to listen to offers.   Allow one day for counter offers and ratification, and there are your 8 days.    This example holds true regardless of what day of the week the home is listed on.

Obviously, the point here is not that it’s going to be exactly 8 days to sell the house.  The key takeaway is that most hot listings will only have one open house and one broker tour before they’re gone, and as a buyer you need to plan accordingly.

What This Means for Buyers.

This compressed time-frame means that buyers have to be on top of their game, and that the purchase of a new home must take top priority.  Every hour and every day counts in a fast market like this.    If you’re out of town for the first (and only) open house, or if you can’t get out to see the listing for a few days, you’re already way behind the curve.   Your competition has already been through the house a couple of times and is now (hopefully) reading through the disclosures and planning their offer strategy.

There’s no gray area for buyers — you’re either in the market, or you’re not.    Those that are going to be successful finding a home in this challenging market recognize this and already have their strategy locked and loaded.

Those that don’t will continue to be stunned by the news that a home sold in “only” 8 days.
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Circling…

Open house ad

A Buyer’s Quandary.

There’s an interesting phenomenon that seems to be happening with the San Carlos real estate market as we finish the first month of 2012.   On one hand,  agents are reporting eye-popping attendance figures at their San Carlos open houses since the year kicked off.  I’ve heard figures ranging from 250 to as high as 400 people coming through some open houses over the course of a weekend.  That’s a huge number of people!   And this doesn’t even count the immense pile of Realtor cards that accumulate during the week as agents preview the homes for their clients.      A few weeks ago when the home at 868 Cordilleras Avenue was on the market, you couldn’t even find a parking spot along that entire block of Cordilleras, Belle, or Elizabeth because there were so many people going through the open house.  It was an absolute zoo.  Sidewalk lemonade was almost as expensive as a beer at a 49er game.   You get the point…

So with all of the interest and buzz about these new listings, one would expect that they should be getting a boatload of offers, right?   Well, with the exception of the aforementioned listing that was rumored to have gotten over 20 offers, that really hasn’t been happening.   From the informal data that I’ve gathered in talking with other agents, most homes that are lucky enough to get multiple offers are only getting 3-4.

Now, that’s not to say that getting 3-4 offers on a listing should be considered a failure — far from it.  But with the sheer number of interested buyers flooding these open houses, it wouldn’t be a surprise at all to see twice as many offers on some of these entry level homes.  So why not more?

What’s Around The Corner?

I have a theory about why this is happening.  I certainly don’t think the quality of listings has become suddenly unattractive, so I tend to discount that as a reason that more buyers aren’t pulling the trigger.  What I think is happening is that buyers are circling, almost trying to buy some time to see what may be coming on the market in the next days/weeks.  After all, we’re still in January and the spring market hasn’t even kicked into gear yet.

This creates a quandary for home buyers — Buy now, and risk seeing a better home for less money in April.   Or, keep circling and miss out on a perfectly good home now.   It’s a difficult decision, because nobody really knows for sure what the spring market is going to bring.   Will we have another year of sparse inventory?   Or will there be an influx of new listings to choose from when we hit Spring?

The consensus among Realtors pushes the needle a little towards the latter, which may be why some buyers are deciding to wait and see what’s around the corner before they commit to writing an offer now.

Thoughts, comments?
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The San Carlos Real Estate Week in Review: 1-26-13.

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San Carlos Real Estate Summary.

The activity is definitely starting to pick up in San Carlos as we head into the early-spring market.  There were 4 new listings that made their debut last week, and 5 homes were snatched up by eager buyers — 4 of the 5 had been on the market for less than two weeks, so buyers are definitely on task and moving decisively.

It’s interesting that of the 14 or so homes that are available for sale in San Carlos, not one of them is the bread-and-butter 3BR/2BA configuration that so many buyers are looking for.   But that will start to change over the next couple of weeks as there are a handful of really nice 3/2′s that will be hitting the market.     Stay tuned!

Here are the numbers from last week:

By The Numbers.

Below is a high-level snapshot of the market performance for single-family residences in San Carlos. This data is for the week ending 1-26-2013:

San Carlos Housing Data 1-26-13 Prior Week
Closed Sales for the Week:
3 6
Average Sold Price
$1,087,677 $1,243,321 (-12.5%)
Average $/Sq Foot (Sold)
$513 $516
Sold Price vs Orig List (%) 106% 92%
Average DOM of Closed Sales 26 50
No. of Homes Pending Sale: 12 8
Inventory of Active Listings:
14 18 (+13%)
Average Price of Active Listings: $1,479,278 $1,471,944
Average DOM of Active Listings: 95 81
Average $/Sq Foot (List) $581 $587
Active-Pending Ratio:
1.2 : 1 2.3 : 1

>>> Click Here to Read the Full Post
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Are you ready to step up to the most comprehensive data available about the San Carlos Real Estate market? Then subscribe to the White Oaks Blog for free by clicking here. Be sure to follow the White Oaks Blog on Facebook at https://Facebook.com/WhiteOaksBlog , and on Twitter @WhiteOaksBlog.
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The San Carlos Real Estate Week in Review: 1-19-13.

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San Carlos Real Estate Summary.

The inventory of homes for sale in San Carlos inched upward slightly this past week with a handful of listings hitting the market.    The active-to-pending ratio rose above 1 for the first time in many months, as a bunch of the pending sales cleared from the books.  The current ratio of 2 is much healthier for the market than where it has been in the past, but with inventory still sitting below 20 there’s a dire need for more inventory for buyers to choose from.

The good news is that more will be coming online in the upcoming weeks.

Here are the numbers from last week:

By The Numbers.

Below is a high-level snapshot of the market performance for single-family residences in San Carlos. This data is for the week ending 1-19-2013:

San Carlos Housing Data 1-19-13 Prior Week
Closed Sales for the Week:
 6 0
Average Sold Price
$1,243,321 $0 (+%)
Average $/Sq Foot (Sold)
$516 $0
Sold Price vs Orig List (%) 92% 0%
Average DOM of Closed Sales 50 0
No. of Homes Pending Sale: 8 13
Inventory of Active Listings:
18 16 (+13%)
Average Price of Active Listings: $1,471,944 $1,535,684
Average DOM of Active Listings: 81 86
Average $/Sq Foot (List) $587 $563
Active-Pending Ratio:
2.3 : 1 0.81 : 1

>>> Click Here to Read the Full Post
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Are you ready to step up to the most comprehensive data available about the San Carlos Real Estate market? Then subscribe to the White Oaks Blog for free by clicking here. Be sure to follow the White Oaks Blog on Facebook at https://Facebook.com/WhiteOaksBlog , and on Twitter @WhiteOaksBlog.
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San Carlos Week of the Family 2013.

Week of the Family

14th Annual Edition.

The 2013 San Carlos Week of the Family is just around the corner!  Running from January 26 – February 2, the Week of the Family is celebrating its 14th year of setting aside time from our busy schedules to celebrate the family unit.  This event increases in popularity every year, and special events are planned for the entire week  with the goal of accomplishing the following:

  • Strengthen family relationships
  • Provide families in our community the tools that help families
  • Promote family life
  • Honor and pay tribute to families
  • Encourage families serving families
  • Have lots of fun!

For more information, and for the complete list of events for this special week, visit the San Carlos Week of the Family website.
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Are you ready to step up to the most comprehensive data available about the San Carlos Real Estate market? Then subscribe to the White Oaks Blog for free by clicking here. Be sure to follow the White Oaks Blog on Facebook at https://Facebook.com/WhiteOaksBlog , and on Twitter @WhiteOaksBlog.
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San Carlos School District Community Safety Forum.

January 17, 2013 San Carlos Schools 2 Comments
SCSD Door

Public Meeting on School Security.

As I discussed in an earlier post on the blog, the openness of our San Carlos schools campuses is a mixed blessing, since the aesthetics and convenience are somewhat offset by the inherent security risk.  Apparently others feel the same way, because the school district has gotten inquiries about what they’re doing to enhance security in the wake of the Newtown school tragedy.

If you have concerns about the safety of the various San Carlos schools , then you should be aware of the meeting that’s being hosted by the San Carlos School District and the San Mateo County Sheriff’s Department to address this very topic.  This community forum will be held on Monday, February 11th at the San Carlos Library.

Here’s the email that was sent out to the San Carlos community from the school superintendent today:

Dear Staff, Parents and Community Members,

Some of you have called or emailed the school district recently with concerns regarding the safety of adults and students in our school buildings in light of the tragic events in Newtown, Connecticut. The district administrative team has been revising and updating the current emergency plan and security protocols for each of our schools. We appreciate and welcome your comments, concerns, and input. The San Carlos School District, San Mateo Sheriff’s Department, and the San Carlos Youth Center will host a Community Safety Forum on Monday, February 11, 2013 at 7:00 p.m. at San Carlos Library Conference Room. The meeting will focus on school safety, violence prevention, traffic safety, internet/media education, current prevention, training and activation strategies within the District and Community.  There will be an opportunity for the public to speak about safety with our school administrators, counselors, recreation leaders, and Police Chief Greg Rothaus.  If you would like to know more about safety and security in San Carlos, please plan to attend this event.

Thank you for your continued support of San Carlos School District and our community.

Sincerely,

Craig Baker, Ed. D.Superintendent

 
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A Good Loan is More Than Just a Low Interest Rate.

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Rock-Bottom Rates Abound.

One of the benefits of our misfiring national economy is that home buyers are able to take advantage of unprecedented low interest rates on home loans.  It seems as if there is an endless supply of lenders coming out of the woodwork looking to get a piece of the booming real estate market in the Bay Area, and they’re aggressively making their pitch to buyers on the radio, TV, and the Internet.

So with all of these choices at your disposal, which institution is right for you?

The answer to that question will be very different depending on whether you are purchasing a new home or re-financing your existing home.  For this discussion, I will focus on the purchase side.

Service is Paramount for Purchase Loans.

If you’re in the market to purchase a home and your Realtor is suggesting that you to use his or her preferred lending institution, you should probably take heed to their suggestion.   They’re not doing this because they will get some sort of “financial incentive” by referring their favorite institution (that’s illegal, by the way).  A good Realtor should be suggesting a lending institution that can a) best execute the loan process in the defined time-frame, and b) provides attractive rates and terms.

Did you notice that “interest rate” was not the first criteria?  That’s because service and execution are absolutely critical when you’re purchasing a home in this hyper-competitive real estate market.    I can probably count on one hand the number of institutions that truly understand the Peninsula real estate market, and that have invested in the infrastructure required to service this market.

Here’s why service and execution are so important…

Don’t Forget:  It’s a Contract.

When you write an offer to purchase a home, you’re entering into a binding contract with conditions and associated deadlines that must be met by you to complete the purchase.    These conditions will of course vary depending on the buyer and the home they are purchasing.  But unless you are paying all cash for your home (lucky you if you are), you will be signing up to conditions pertaining to the funding of your purchase — and that means making and keeping commitments on behalf of your lender.   (This is the primary reason why purchase loans differs so much from re-finance loans.)

And if you’re entrusting your loan to a bank that doesn’t understand the local market, or doesn’t have a good track record on hitting their dates, you are unwittingly putting your offer or your home purchase at risk.

There’s nothing terribly difficult to understand here — in any contract, if you don’t execute the agreed upon conditions, you are in  breach of the contract.   It’s no different when you are buying a home — if your lender doesn’t meet the commitments you have specified in the contract for the finance contingency, appraisal contingency, and/or the close of escrow date,  they have just breached the contract on your behalf.

And that puts you and your Realtor into damage recovery mode — not a good place to be in a negotiation.

Listing Agents Are Taking Note.

In a incredibly competitive real estate market like the one we’re in now, the listing agent often has the luxury of receiving stack of offers from which to pick the winning bid.  As such, they are able to closely scrutinize every aspect of the offer — from the price, to the terms — and pick the one with the best one.  What’s the best offer?  It’s not always the highest price.  Increasingly, it’s the offer with the best reward-vs-risk trade off.   And what are the “risk” items in an offer?  It’s the contingencies and other conditions that may get in the way of a smooth escrow.   This is where partnering with the wrong lender can really hurt you.

If you’re going to bat with an institution that’s either not known to the listing agent, or worse yet, one that the listing agent has had a bad experience with, your offer is already in deep trouble.   I’ve seen a number of offers get bounced entirely out of consideration solely because of the lender that was chosen.

Who’s the Best?

The problem is that everyone has their own definition of who the best lender is.   But consider this:  Wells Fargo and Bank of America together write probably 2/3 of all purchase loans for residential property in the Bay Area right now.    Does that mean that every agent is enamored with both of these institutions?  Of course not.  But it does mean that both banks DO understand the local market, and they’ve invested in the infrastructure to execute on purchase loans, because they continue to get the lion’s share of the business.  There are a few smaller bank that understand the local market too, and have been very successful here.

It’s also important to note that the loan officer behind the loan is just as important as the bank that they work for.   I’ve had widely varying degrees of success with different mortgage brokers at the same bank.  Much of your success lies in the hands of the mortgage broker who will be babysitting your loan application during the purchase.  (If you need some suggestions on who I believe does really well in this market, feel free to contact me and I can provide you with some excellent references.)

The bottom line is that if your Realtor has a couple of “go-to” people that they refer to, understand that there’s a very good reason why you’re being encouraged to go that path.   While you may want to work with your local credit union, or an internet bank,  or the institution that issues you your credit cards,  be very cognizant of their track record in closing home loans and how they are perceived in the local real estate market.  It’s not worth a 1/8 point difference in the interest rate to jeopardize your home purchase.

If you still really want to give them your business, you can always refinance your home with them later… when time is not so critical.
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Are you ready to step up to the most comprehensive data available about the San Carlos Real Estate market? Then subscribe to the White Oaks Blog for free by clicking here. Be sure to follow the White Oaks Blog on Facebook at https://Facebook.com/WhiteOaksBlog , and on Twitter @WhiteOaksBlog.
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Chuck Gillooley
Chuck Gillooley
Realtor, San Carlos Resident
Alain Pinel Realtors

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DRE# 01750684
Email: chuck@cghomes.net
Website: http://cghomes.net



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